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Silence and Fear: Life Under Russian Occupation
Evidence and stories from people living under Russian occupation in Ukraine tell of fear, intimidation, and silence.
The Latest Analysis
Silence and Fear: Life Under Russian Occupation
Evidence and stories from people living under Russian occupation in Ukraine tell of fear, intimidation, and silence.
Behind the Lines: How Deep is China’s Engagement in Occupied Ukraine?
Is China expanding its presence in areas of Ukraine occupied by Russia? Or is it just another of the Kremlin’s propaganda games?
Ukraine: New Unaccountable Elites?
War has reduced the power of the oligarchs who dominated post-independence Ukraine. Will Kyiv seize the chance to curb the influence of the super-rich?
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Bringing Ukraine Into NATO Without World War III
NATO should immediately begin consultations in the NATO-Ukraine Council about Ukraine joining the alliance as soon as possible, including a detailed Article 5 plan.
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June 18, 2026
Silence and Fear: Life Under Russian Occupation
Evidence and stories from people living under Russian occupation in Ukraine tell of fear, intimidation, and silence.
June 18, 2026
Behind the Lines: How Deep is China’s Engagement in Occupied Ukraine?
Is China expanding its presence in areas of Ukraine occupied by Russia? Or is it just another of the Kremlin’s propaganda games?
June 17, 2026
UK Chip Plans: An Appetizing Recipe
Britain’s new AI hardware strategy backs design and innovation, while avoiding the fantasy of a taxpayer‑funded mega‑fab.
June 17, 2026
US AI Export Controls Cause Furor
By banning foreigners from accessing Anthropic’s Fable 5, the US abandons its hands-off approach to artificial intelligence — and angers allies.
June 17, 2026
Why Do Seized Russian Tankers Sail Away?
French, British, Swedish, and Finnish boarding parties have taken control of shadow fleet vessels, with most freed shortly afterwards.
June 16, 2026
Ukraine: New Unaccountable Elites?
War has reduced the power of the oligarchs who dominated post-independence Ukraine. Will Kyiv seize the chance to curb the influence of the super-rich?
June 16, 2026
The Siege of Crimea
Many observers had written off Crimea and assumed Kyiv would have to surrender the peninsula in any peace deal with Moscow. But the tide is turning.
June 16, 2026
You’ve No Idea How Much Russia Hates Britain
Keir Starmer’s refusal to adequately fund defense is opening ever-greater opportunities for Kremlin exploitation. Its campaign is already underway.
June 15, 2026
Putin’s Kulturkampf
The Russian despotism has done everything possible to shut down information sharing, but culture retains a power beyond its reach.
June 15, 2026
Surrender Crimea and Reward Genocide
The Kremlin’s claim that Crimea is Russian rests on a 240-year project to erase the peninsula’s indigenous Crimean Tatar population. The world can’t turn away.
June 15, 2026
Europe Isn’t Ready for AI Drones
Ukraine’s campaign against supply lines through the so-called land bridge to Crimea are making Russia suffer. They’re also a warning to an under-prepared Europe.
June 12, 2026
Ban or Reform: UK Cracks Down on Social Media
British politicians and doctors compare social media to smoking and call for a ban for under-16s.
June 12, 2026
Ban Chinese Drone Parts? Good Luck
Washington wants to stop all imports from China. Instead, it should work with Ukraine.
June 12, 2026
Why Defense Startups Choose Europe Over America
The United States still leads as the global platform for civil startups, but next-generation defense ventures are quietly staying in Europe.
June 12, 2026
The Walkout of Britain’s Defense Overlords
The chasm between rhetoric and reality has triggered a crisis in the UK’s security establishment.
June 11, 2026
West Needs ‘Escalation Ladder’ for Putin’s Shadow War
NATO’s fragmented responses to Russia’s “accidental” border incursions are enabling Moscow’s shadow war.
June 11, 2026
Putin and Xi — Friends But Not Equals
Coordination of the relationship between China and Russia has grown, but it lacks balance and clear boundaries.
June 10, 2026
Europe Pursues New AI Chip Dream
Europe wants to build a state-backed cutting edge semiconductor fab. It risks boomeranging.
June 10, 2026
Europe and India: A Marriage of Convenience
The biggest of the so-called middle powers are seeking greater cooperation to hedge against war and uncertainty.
June 10, 2026
Russia-China Military Ties: Behind the Window Dressing
It’s important to distinguish between a genuine military alliance and the picture-perfect imagery of authoritarian propaganda.
June 9, 2026
Code War: Europe Launches “Tech Independence”
Europe wants to wean itself from American and Chinese tech in the name of digital sovereignty. Expect a long battle.
June 9, 2026
NATO Needs a War College in Kyiv
The most important classroom for NATO’s future officers should be built in Ukraine’s capital.
June 9, 2026
Armenia Votes to Shun Russia
Pashinyan’s victory leaves the Kremlin with the difficult choice of confrontation or something more pragmatic.
June 8, 2026
When Russia Loses
The war’s end will mark the start of a race to secure the peace and make the continent the author of its future.
June 8, 2026
Ukraine and the War for Memory
Wars end with agreements about territory but also require a shared understanding of what happened and why. Without that, there is a risk of renewed conflict.
June 4, 2026
Slaying the Cookie Monster
Europe’s pop-up economy hurts consumers, media, and businesses. It can be fixed.
June 4, 2026
Europe’s Renewables Loosen Energy Stranglehold
Wind and solar power are best positioned to end the continent’s dependence on both Russian and American supplies.
June 4, 2026
Russia’s Economy: Bent Out of Shape
The economy’s two main tracks are moving in different directions.
June 4, 2026
Putin’s Deepening Problems Are Europe’s Opportunity
The Russian despot’s choices are narrowing as his war results in stalemate and impoverishment. Europe should make the most of it.
June 3, 2026
The Renaissance of US Interest in the South Caucasus
The US supports Armenia’s government ahead of key elections, fearing Pashinyan’s defeat by pro-Russian forces would upend peace efforts.
June 3, 2026
Russia’s Threadbare Air Defenses
For a country that has built its foreign policy on the notion of encirclement, Russia is surprisingly bad at defending itself.
June 3, 2026
Can the Internet be Childproofed?
European and Americans share a desire to keep children safe online. The US uses courts. Europe regulates.
June 2, 2026
The Threat of a Europe-China Trade War
With the US summit behind it, China is squaring up for the next defining trade battle. It’s very confident that it will win.
June 2, 2026
Who Will Govern AI?
Closing the gap between those who build AI and those who govern it is now a central challenge of the AI age.
June 2, 2026
Ukraine: Lessons in Mix-and-Match Defense
Europe’s attempts to build unified defenses have stuttered because different countries use different systems. Ukraine may have the answer.
June 1, 2026
Russia’s Influence Game: Church, State, and Espionage
The Kremlin’s efforts to show it’s an accepted member of the global community require enormous work by every arm of the regime.
June 1, 2026
One Year On: Ukraine’s Airfield Blitz Still Echoes
Ukraine’s use of drones against Russia’s strategic aircraft has left an indelible mark on the war and the world. It’s a warning to the West.
May 31, 2026
Ukraine: Luring the Talented to Come Home
Ukraine’s future depends not only on winning the war against Russia, but convincing its young people to come home.
May 29, 2026
Compute: AI Bubble or Bottleneck?
The artificial intelligence boom must overcome supply shortages — in both the US and China.
May 29, 2026
Letter to London: New PM Must Fix Shadow Defenses
The UK is likely to have a new leader later this year. Here’s some day one advice from former British government official, Andy Pryce.
May 28, 2026
Reality Check: Breaking Free From China’s Drone Ecosystem is Harder Than You Think
China controls the global supply of drones. It will be challenging to cut this dependency.
May 28, 2026
The MATCH Act and Multilateral Cooperation
The MATCH Act would ask allies to follow the US on semiconductor equipment export restrictions. Unfortunately, key parts of this effort are divorced from reality.
May 28, 2026
Hungary’s Blitz of Change
The new prime minister is moving swiftly to uproot the old regime and to ensure Hungarians understand its excesses.
May 27, 2026
Russia’s Land Bridge Becomes a Highway to Hell
The Kremlin’s supply lines in occupied Ukraine are being hammered, the result of Kyiv’s current superiority in drone technology.
May 27, 2026
China and the Hungarian Water Crisis
The days when Chinese industry received a free pass from the Budapest government are over. A water shortage has seen to that.
May 27, 2026
Armenia’s East-West Choice and the Shadow of War
Like many of Russia’s neighbors, Armenia’s voters face a choice between Brussels and Moscow, but with the added shadow of the territorial losses.
May 27, 2026
Turning Baltic Vulnerability Into Strength
The Baltic states know how to use a crisis. They have done it before under Russian pressure, and should do it again now with the growing drone menace.
May 27, 2026
Europe’s Copyright Trap Stalls AI Ambitions
The debate over copyright and AI is often described as a moral battle: the rights of creators versus the “theft” by big tech. This framing is fundamentally flawed.
May 27, 2026
Ukraine Is Europe’s Sword
Europe will struggle to defend itself against Russia without the aid of Ukraine’s battle-tested legions.
May 22, 2026
Russian Influence Drains Away in the South Caucasus
Armenia is building closer relations with the EU, underlining Russia’s diminishing influence in the South Caucasus.
May 22, 2026
What’s the Best Way to Defend Against AI Hacking?
Mythos underlines an unresolved security dilemma: restricting powerful models may be just as dangerous as releasing them.
May 22, 2026
The British and US Sanctions That Quietly Aren’t
US and UK sanctions relief aimed at easing domestic consumer pressures also transfer billions into Putin’s war chest, at Ukraine’s expense.
May 22, 2026
European Cruise Missiles? On the Way
After years of neglect and small-scale production, Europe-based producers are finally accelerating new products to rearm and reduce dependency on the US.
May 21, 2026
Western Chips Power Russia’s War
Russian drones pounding Ukraine depend on Western chips. Sanctions leak.
May 21, 2026
Georgian Dream’s Failed Pivot
How Georgia’s billionaire Ivanishvili misread Moscow, and why Washington shouldn’t reward his overtures.
May 21, 2026
What If Putin Can’t End the War?
The Kremlin maintains the threat of escalation to perpetuate the myth of Western aggression and justify its repression of the Russian people.
May 21, 2026
The Tank Is Dead? Oh No, it Isn’t
Tanks are being dismissed by some as the relics of an earlier age. But they’re still needed, and Europe lacks the numbers.
May 21, 2026
Europe Should Blame Itself For Its Mythos Exclusion
Premature, heavy-handed regulation is at least partly responsible for Washington’s refusal to share the revolutionary new software.
May 20, 2026
Russia Settles for Stagnation
The Kremlin’s own forecasters now admit what they long denied: the war economy has run out of steam.
May 20, 2026
A Defense Production Plan for Europe
More than a trillion dollars has been committed to allied defense spending by 2035. That must be used to boost industrial capacity, with transatlantic cooperation at its heart.