Timely analysis is vital to achieving real policy impact in a rapidly evolving world. The Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA) works with leading voices in government, business, civil society, and media to provide cutting-edge analysis of the most urgent transatlantic policy questions. Our work brings forward-thinking ideas, innovative policy recommendations, and key insights on trends across areas of transatlantic digital policy, defense technology, democratic resilience, and security and defense.
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To Save Europe’s AI Future, Choose Openness Over Protectionism
Europe stands at a crossroads in its quest for “Digital Sovereignty.” Tough choices lie ahead.
The Latest Analysis
The UK and the Risk of Military Defeat
Reminders of the disastrous period before World War II are echoing ever louder in the current debate on Britain’s underfunded military.
Europe: A New Defense Council to Shore-Up NATO
A European Security Council could provide the unified voice and structural resilience the continent desperately needs.
The Manned Aircraft Problem? Humans
The use of captured pilots for hostage diplomacy should make Western air forces reconsider their dithering on unmanned aircraft.
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Bringing Ukraine Into NATO Without World War III
NATO should immediately begin consultations in the NATO-Ukraine Council about Ukraine joining the alliance as soon as possible, including a detailed Article 5 plan.
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May 4, 2026
To Save Europe’s AI Future, Choose Openness Over Protectionism
Europe stands at a crossroads in its quest for “Digital Sovereignty.” Tough choices lie ahead.
May 1, 2026
“Messy” US Chip Fab Outperforms Japan’s Textbook Model
How did the high costs, culture clash, and myriad regulations in Arizona win out over Japanese discipline, captive customers, and state-led coordination?
April 30, 2026
Setting AI Rules of Engagement
Governments are struggling with outdated tactics to assert control over frontier AI models, at home and abroad.
April 30, 2026
Europe Struggles to Address AI Liability
The continent’s existing strategy leaves a giant gap in determining who is responsible for AI harms.
April 30, 2026
Sue the Chatbot? Good Luck
The US, Europe, and the UK are struggling to address liability claims for AI damages.
April 30, 2026
The UK and the Risk of Military Defeat
Reminders of the disastrous period before World War II are echoing ever louder in the current debate on Britain’s underfunded military.
April 29, 2026
Europe: A New Defense Council to Shore-Up NATO
A European Security Council could provide the unified voice and structural resilience the continent desperately needs.
April 29, 2026
The Manned Aircraft Problem? Humans
The use of captured pilots for hostage diplomacy should make Western air forces reconsider their dithering on unmanned aircraft.
April 29, 2026
Blurred Borders: NATO Needs Answers to Hybrid Attacks
An exercise testing NATO responses to hybrid attacks revealed a need for the West to be more nimble, and willing to mimic enemy tactics to defend itself.
April 28, 2026
Putin’s Censors Lashed by Popular Rage
Russians are willing to tolerate a lot, but there’s a limit. As the country’s internet regulators are discovering.
April 28, 2026
AI Transforms the Chip Industry
The old semiconductor licensing model no longer suffices to power AI’s ferocious appetite.
April 24, 2026
No Adult in the Room: The Crisis in Ukraine’s Parliament
The dismissal of President Volodymyr Zelensky’s right-hand man after a corruption scandal has led to a parliamentary crisis in Ukraine.
April 24, 2026
The Funhouse Mirror of Chinese Statistics
China is succeeding in many fields but numbers can be misleading. Approach with caution.
April 24, 2026
Russia Goes Mad MAX
The Kremlin wants to copy China by creating a superapp, MAX, to dominate Russian digital life. It can only succeed through coercion.
April 23, 2026
Europe’s Defense Factories: More Urgency Please
The EU’s new defense industry program has the right architecture. The factories, the workers, and the political will are another matter.
April 23, 2026
Make Europe’s Defenses Great Again
New approaches must be agreed upon to meet the continent’s need for rapidly evolving defense technology products.
April 23, 2026
Orbán Lost But Populism is Still Winning
The defeat of Hungary’s longtime leader has been seen by some as a watershed for European populism. But it still threatens a collective continental security policy.
April 21, 2026
Is the Brussels Effect Losing Steam?
Europe’s Digital Markets Act was designed to lead a global antitrust crackdown on tech. But the Act’s impact has been limited and few countries are following.
April 21, 2026
Russia Scents Iran War Opportunity in South Caucasus
As Azerbaijan and Armenia discuss trade cooperation, Russia is muscling in. Baku should beware of Moscow’s charm offensive.
April 21, 2026
Germany: Time to Step Up
Germany can lead Europe but it needs to convince its allies and change its attitude to hard power.
April 20, 2026
Ukraine and the Future of War
The asymmetry of the Ukraine war has driven radical changes in weapons and those who wield them. The West should learn the lessons.
April 20, 2026
The EU: A Bias Against Central and East Europe
The expansion of the European Union to include former Soviet bloc countries was supposed to herald a new dawn of opportunity and unity, but Eastern and Central Europe have been kept from the top table.
April 20, 2026
Poland: Fast Becoming Europe’s Defensive Linchpin
With ports, roads and pipelines that keep Europe moving, Poland matters much more than realized.
April 20, 2026
Why the Next UN Tech Election Matters
The US must mobilize and work with allies to prevent global Internet, cybersecurity, and AI regulation.
April 16, 2026
Ukraine’s Women: Warriors Not Victims
Ukraine’s women are central to sustaining the state, supporting the front and holding society together under the extreme pressure of Russian aggression.
April 16, 2026
The Great Gates of Kyiv and a Vision of Peace
A 152-year-old piece of music, which unites European nations and climaxes at the gates of Kyiv, lets listeners imagine a better future.
April 15, 2026
A Hidden Plague: Russia’s Sex Trafficking of Ukrainians
Western nations can do more to stop criminal gangs forcing Ukrainians into sexual slavery.
April 15, 2026
Hungary’s Magyar in His Own Words
Hungary’s prime minister-elect has made a barrage of statements since his landslide election victory on April 12.
April 15, 2026
Russia and the Pain of Losing Hungary
The loss of a populist ally in Budapest has a range of financial consequences for the Putin regime.
April 14, 2026
Animal Magic: Pets and Vets Aid Ukraine’s Resistance
Pets and animals play a crucial role in the resilience of Ukraine; veterinarians should be treated as a vital part of resistance to the war.
April 14, 2026
Who Controls the AI Shopping Cart?
Artificial intelligence will reshape what we purchase and how we pay.
April 13, 2026
Ukraine’s Air Defenses — World Class, and Improving
No wonder European and Arab states are beating a path to Ukraine’s door. While others have serious air defense questions, Kyiv has answers.
April 13, 2026
Chaos at the ICC
The International Criminal Court has suffered one public blow after another, with growing questions about its ability to govern itself.
April 13, 2026
The New National Security Risk: Biotech
Both the US and Europe are embedding biotech data into national security policy.
April 13, 2026
Hungary: First the Party, Now the Minefield
Hungary’s premier-elect will have a honeymoon but tricky problems await.
April 13, 2026
Hungary’s New Dawn: A Packed Agenda for Péter Magyar
As opposition supporters shake off the hangovers from a night of joy, the new government faces a mountain of problems.
April 10, 2026
Ukraine’s Africa Campaign: Fighting Russia on Europe’s Southern Border
Kyiv is disrupting Russia’s African networks. That reduces Moscow’s ability to raise money and to pressure Europe’s most vulnerable frontier.
April 10, 2026
The Quantum Era is Now
Moving beyond the lab: quantum is rewriting global security.
April 10, 2026
The Disastrous Paradox of Russian Fear
Putin and his coercive security services have created a problem among ordinary Russians that has no easy solution.
April 9, 2026
New Ways to Win Wars — Proposals for the West
For decades, Western defense strategy assumed that technological superiority ensured victory. That assumption proves false in modern conflict.
April 9, 2026
Russia to Armenia: Do as We Say
Armenia has few options despite its rapprochement with Azerbaijan and Turkey and ties to the EU. None provides Yerevan with viable security.
April 8, 2026
Zelenskyy’s Drone Diplomacy Wins New Arab Friends
Behind the headlines of his Middle Eastern trip, Ukraine’s leader has underlined Ukraine’s nimble and quick-witted diplomacy.
April 8, 2026
Hungary’s Orbán Unleashes His ‘Digital Infantry’
As Viktor Orbán seeks to extend his 16-year premiership, a flood of hostile material seeks to paint the opposition as disloyal.
April 7, 2026
Hungary’s Election: It’s the Villages, Stupid
Understanding Hungarian politics means looking beyond Budapest. As the country nears its watershed April 12 election, the countryside is in sharp focus.
April 7, 2026
Hungary’s Moment of Truth
What will happen when Hungarians vote on April 12? What comes after that? These questions loom before Hungary’s most contested elections yet.
April 7, 2026
The Battle Over AI Warfare and Surveillance
Anthropic’s clash with the Pentagon underlines how artificial intelligence is transforming surveillance and national security.
April 4, 2026
Why Ukraine Needs More Millionaires and Fewer Billionaires
Post-war Ukraine will need more than peace to hold social fabrics together and prosper, as Gen. David Petraeus recently explained.
April 3, 2026
Transatlantic Star Wars
Europe’s new space law aims for the stars — and irritates Washington, without promising to catch up.
April 3, 2026
Ukraine’s Technology Shield Gets Better and Better
Innovation from four years of war has given Ukraine a layered defensive system centered around technology.
April 2, 2026
EU Inc. Is Not Europe’s Delaware Moment
The so-called 28th regime may tidy up incorporation. It’s a start but scaling startups still means crashing into a legal patchwork.
April 2, 2026
The ‘Meloni Model’ Won’t Tame France’s Populist Right
France and Italy are profoundly different nations with different political cultures, whatever some people might imagine.
April 1, 2026
Hesitation Risks Escalation: Europe and Russia’s Shadow War
The West has failed to stop Russia’s shadow war. CEPA assessed the steps needed to restore credible deterrence.
April 1, 2026
Europe’s Next Catastrophe Will Be No Accident
Russia’s shadow war in Europe is escalating. Allies need a new strategy before it’s too late.
April 1, 2026
Will the Caspian Region Be Drawn Into the Iran War?
There are significant risks for the South Caucasus and Europe from the possible spread of the US-Israeli war with Iran.
April 1, 2026
Cyber Warfare 101: Bluff Don’t Tell
Uncertainty is leverage in cyber conflict. Iran possibly diluted its threats of electronic devastation by demonstrating how little it can do.
March 30, 2026
Pollution and Power Cuts: Russia Targets Moldova
The Kremlin has not ended its efforts to subvert and capture Moldova, as recent events make clear.
March 30, 2026
Europe’s Porous Air Defenses Unmasked by Iran War
Images of French and British fighters using high-tech air-to-air missiles to destroy Iranian attack drones may give the appearance of strength, but it betrays a serious weakness.
March 30, 2026
Putin Tells Billionaires to Fill the Begging Bowl
There is no sense of rejoicing in the Kremlin, even as the oil price soars and revenues rise.
March 27, 2026
A Playbook to Clear the Strait of Hormuz
The US and allies have recent experience working together in maritime choke points that should be considered in any operation close to Iran.
March 26, 2026
Croatia’s ‘City of Heroes’: A Warning From the Past
Thirty five years after the siege of Vukovar, and the atrocities committed by Serbs under Slobodan Milošević, the search for justice continues.