Caucasus
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October 22, 2026
Turkey and Azerbaijan: Old Allies Fall Out
A deterioration in relations between Baku and Ankara appears relatively minor, but there are deeper and more serious issues at play.
October 19, 2026
Deepening Black Sea Crisis Demands US Involvement
Russian strikes on Black Sea shipping are probing NATO’s tolerance for attacks on allies. The US and Europe must reinforce the region.
September 24, 2026
Choppy Waters: Caspian War Drones Proliferate
The spillover from wars in Europe and the Middle East has hit the Caspian region: Azerbaijan is now arming to deter.
September 16, 2026
Russia’s Neighbors Battle Oil Addiction
Ukrainian strikes on Russia’s oil refineries have triggered shortages across neighboring countries which have depended on Moscow for decades.
September 14, 2026
Armenia Battles to Buy Time
Putin is pressuring Armenia to make difficult decisions before it loses the ability to pressure a pro-Western government.
September 11, 2026
Armenia’s Relations With Russia? Worsening
No compromise between the sides is expected and Russian ultimatums remain in place.
August 27, 2026
Trump’s Route Begins to Re-Make the South Caucasus
The project unites the common interest of the participating states.
August 14, 2026
Ukraine War Bleeds Into the Caspian
Ukraine’s strike on merchant vessels in the Caspian Sea marks a major extension of the Russia-Ukraine war, but Iran has limited responses.
July 7, 2026
Russia’s Losing Hand in the South Caucasus
The Kremlin is struggling to reassert its dominance in the South Caucasus as Azerbaijan and Armenia bury the hatchet.