Caucasus
There are significant risks for the South Caucasus and Europe from the possible spread of the US-Israeli war with Iran.
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April 1, 2026
Will the Caspian Region Be Drawn Into the Iran War?
There are significant risks for the South Caucasus and Europe from the possible spread of the US-Israeli war with Iran.
March 10, 2026
Will Iran Torch the South Caucasus?
Tension has spilled over into the South Caucasus, but the balance of power does not favor Iran.
February 11, 2026
Kremlin Shivers as US Enters the South Caucasus
Vice President Vance’s visit to Armenia and Azerbaijan signals a shifting balance of power in the region, and it’s not in Russia’s favor.
February 5, 2026
Russia–Azerbaijan: Relations Back on the Rocks
The Kremlin’s idea of a rapprochement is very different to Baku’s.
January 30, 2026
Europe Should Exploit Georgia’s Regime Ructions
Purges and recriminations at the top of Georgia’s governing party have created an opportunity for Europe to support democracy.
November 12, 2025
How Russian Weakness in the South Caucasus Can Reward the West
Developments in 2025 have highlighted the reordering of regional power relations in the South Caucasus. There is opportunity for the West, but peril too.
November 6, 2025
Putin Seeks to Solve His Azerbaijan Problem
Russia and Azerbaijan are playing nice again, but the fundamentals have not changed.
September 11, 2025
Armenia’s Foreign Policy Revolution
Armenia’s heavy reliance on Russia is coming to an end as Yerevan works to extend relationships and repair once-shattered regional ties.
August 28, 2025
Russia — Ukraine’s Accidental Matchmaker
Uneasy neighbors at the best of times, open hostility from the Kremlin is pushing Azerbaijan closer to Ukraine.