Posts By Emil
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March 10, 2026
Will Iran Torch the South Caucasus?
Tension has spilled over into the South Caucasus, but the balance of power does not favor Iran.
February 11, 2026
Kremlin Shivers as US Enters the South Caucasus
Vice President Vance’s visit to Armenia and Azerbaijan signals a shifting balance of power in the region, and it’s not in Russia’s favor.
February 5, 2026
Russia–Azerbaijan: Relations Back on the Rocks
The Kremlin’s idea of a rapprochement is very different to Baku’s.
November 18, 2025
Washington’s Eurasian Moment
The US has momentum, but Russia and China still limit Central Asia’s options.
November 6, 2025
Putin Seeks to Solve His Azerbaijan Problem
Russia and Azerbaijan are playing nice again, but the fundamentals have not changed.
August 13, 2025
Trump’s Road TRIPP Delivers a Deal
Rivals including Russia have been seriously irritated by the sudden US stake in a geopolitically significant South Caucasus infrastructure project.