In the wake of the dismal performance by Russia’s military in Georgia in 2008, the Russian Federation poured administrative and financial resources into the military. To no avail.
Balancing is the most commonplace word in the South Caucasus. This is how the three states approach the war Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Whatever the outcome of Russia’s unwarranted war against Ukraine, its implications for Georgia and Moldova are serious and immediate.
Vladimir Putin is making decisions based on his emotions and in a vacuum. This will make it very difficult to deter him.
Georgia fears Russian military power but needs to side with the West against Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
The Russian president’s recognition of breakaway regions as sovereign states followed by an all-out attack is straight out of its Georgia Playbook.
Russia is demanding that NATO break its promise on future membership for Georgia; internal problems and disputes with the West seem just as worrying.
Georgia’s ambitions to join the Western community are at risk from a destructive domestic political environment that alienates future partners.
Russia’s psychological preparations for war in Ukraine have been years in the making. They just passed a new threshold.
Amid a deteriorating geopolitical situation from the Baltic to the South Caucasus, the West needs more refined and subtle policies