While the Kremlin is busy in the west, developments to the south promise further threats to its aggressive policy in the borderlands.
Balancing is the most commonplace word in the South Caucasus. This is how the three states approach the war Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Connectivity in the South Caucasus gets a major boost with Armenia’s railroad agreement
Tension with Azerbaijan dies down but underlying differences are likely to widen
Geopolitical self-interest has no place when it comes to true peace-making. Armenia and Azerbaijan are learning that the hard way.
The election promises for Russia, at a minimum, a major boost to its influence in Armenia
Turkey is poking at Russia’s underbelly
In the south Caucasus, internal political uncertainty creates opportunities for external players.
Playing the “peacekeeping card” could signal Moscow’s relative geopolitical decline in the region.
The EU should act to support Moldova, despite its impotence in the Caucasus